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Showing posts with label Average. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Average. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Beggs Explains Why Average Units Are Triggering More Adjustments Than Clean Models

Instead of A Tale of Two Cities, Ricky Beggs and the Black Book team spotted “a tale of two markets,” when analyzing the current wholesale market, especially when it comes to the trends for average and clean vehicles.

In his most recent edition of “Beggs on the Used Car Market,” the Black Book managing editor acknowledged that when he gathered market activity and results for the last week it “was almost like two different markets.

“Many times when we say this, we are referencing the different trending between the cars and trucks or between small cars and big trucks,” Beggs explained. “But this past week the differences were noticed between the clean condition vehicles and the average condition units.”

Black Book discovered there were more average condition vehicles adjusted than clean within its daily adjustments. Specifically, editors modified 1,821 average units per day, compared to 1,454 clean units.

Editors also determined average condition unit adjustments resulted in more increases than clean models to the tune of 52 percent to 41 percent, respectively.

Furthermore, Black Book indicated the overall price change for clean condition vehicles was a decline of $31, while average models slipped by just $17.

“I see this trending where the extra clean car values have been so strong so an upward change was not necessary,” Beggs surmised.

“And along with the push of tax season buyers having to get additional inventory to meet the market demand the top of the line car was also in demand,” he added.

Overall, Black Book ended up with five of the 24 total vehicle segments increasing in price for the week. Another change in the trending patterns was with more car segments increasing than trucks.

Editors found entry level cars increased by $28, while compact cars increased by $7. Entry midsize cars climbed by $4.

They also mentioned trucks were positively led by midsize pickup trucks rising most at $39, with compact SUVs posting a solid $22 increase.

Changing gears, Beggs recapped how much he and other members of the Black Book team have been on the road recently.

“Over the past couple of weeks we have been around new and used car dealers at the NADA Convention and Expo in Las Vegas, and then a large group of motorcycle and powersports dealers at the Dealer Expo in Indianapolis,” Beggs shared.

“From within both industries it is very obvious about the enthusiasm toward the state of the market and how the dealers see the opportunities that are in front of them heading into the heart of 2012,” he continued.

“The dealers at both conventions were looking for the top tools to help them grow their business,” he added.

Beggs highlighted Black Book’s new Android app aimed to complement the previously released iPhone app that can provide most current and accurate motorcycle values.

“There were also many longtime auto market dealers at the Dealer Expo who were glad to now have a solid motorcycle app,” he interjected.

“Even though Scott Yarbrough and I were in Indy, the other Black Book editors were still covering the market for cars and the medium and heavy-duty trucks, as well as getting a close look at a couple of majorly updated 2013 new models that will soon be released for consumer purchase,” Beggs went on to say.


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Thursday, January 19, 2012

Polk: Vehicle Population Hits Record Average Age

The U.S. vehicle population has reached a record-high age after showing rapid gains in recent years, according to Polk, which said this aging fleet and longer ownership periods present dealership service departments — along with other auto repair and aftermarket businesses — with “significant business growth opportunity.”

More specifically, the average age of vehicles currently in operation as of July 1 of 2011 is 10.8 years, compared to 10.6 years on the same date in 2010.

This continues what Polk called a rapid increase over the last five years, climbing all the way up from an average age of 9.7 back in 2006.

“The increasing age of the vehicle fleet, together with the increasing length of ownership, offers significant business growth opportunity for the automotive aftermarket,” stated Mark Seng, global aftermarket practice leader at Polk. “Dealer service departments and independent repair facilities, as well as aftermarket parts suppliers, will see increased business opportunity with customers in need of vehicle service.”

Breaking the data down further, the age of passenger cars climbed only slightly to 11.1, compared to an age of 11 the prior year. Meanwhile, the increase for trucks (10.1 to 10.4) was more dramatic.

Polk explained that this deceleration for passenger car aging reflects the sluggish sales and the car-versus-truck sales mix during 2008 and 2009. During this period, there were a greater number of truck registrations than car registrations.

Officials pointed out, however, that that even though truck sales were stronger during this period, their aging rate was quicker.

That said, the market is likely to see this trend go in reverse in the near future, given the increases in the CUV and small SUV populations over the last two years. What’s more, with new-vehicle sales climbing last year and expectations for those gains to continue, Polk believes the market’s aging rate will probably soften compared to what’s been seen in the last three years.

Moving along, Polk also delved into U.S. vehicle population data. After two years of decreases in vehicle count, 2011 showed an uptick.

Specifically, there were 240.5 million units in operation as of July 1.

After reaching an all-time high of 242.1 million in 2008, the population dropped to 241.5 million in 2009 and 240.0 million in 2010.


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